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It is no time for pandemic fatigue.
With the onset of cold weather and Americans preparing to vote en masse in less than two weeks, the country's coronavirus map paints a worrying picture. According to a Fortune analysis of the New York Times data, new cases are increasing almost everywhere – in all but five states (Hawaii, Maine, Vermont, Delaware, and New Hampshire) and the District of Columbia.
On average, 25 states report at least 200 more cases per day than two weeks ago. Two states, Illinois and Texas, are seeing more than 1,000 new cases per day during this time. In another eight cases – mostly in the upper Midwest including Michigan, Ohio, Indiana, and Wisconsin – the average number of new cases per day has increased by more than 500 per day. This development, as well as the increase and recorded hospital stays in many states, have led some experts to refer to this as the “third increase” in the country. (The first surge began in late March and the second in July, when the nation recorded more than 77,000 new cases in one day. Yesterday the country reported approximately 60,600.)
While these rising rates have not been matched with the sweeping measures taken earlier this year and are currently back in effect in some locations in Europe, there are restrictions on things like indoor dining and the use of party buses in some areas tries.
Hawaii is the only state where the average number of new cases per day is falling.
While the country's rising case numbers reflect more testing in some cases, the average seven-day positivity rate in many states – 37 of them – is well above the 5% figure that the World Health Organization labeled "too high" in May governments are considering reopening . Twelve states, led by Indiana, with an average positivity rate of 41%, have rates above 15%.
States in the northeast make up most of the states with positivity rates below 2%.
Breakdown of Daily New Cases by State
Numbers are based on an average of seven days.
|Status||October 14 new cases||October 20 new cases||change|
|District of Columbia||50||54||4th|
|Northern Marianne Islands||1||2||1|
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